Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin
Model pick: Hutnik Kraków (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 1.42
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 57%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hutnik Kraków | Świt Skolwin |
|---|
| League position | #9 (0 pts) | #16 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Hutnik Kraków shown at home, Świt Skolwin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hutnik Kraków — last 5
LLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Świt Skolwin — last 5
LWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hutnik Kraków (home) | Świt Skolwin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 60% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 1.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Hutnik Kraków or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Świt Skolwin or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Hutnik Kraków clean sheet | 24% |
| Świt Skolwin clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hutnik Kraków is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Hutnik Kraków are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (57% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin — FAQ
Who will win Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin?
Our statistical model makes Hutnik Kraków the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Hutnik Kraków 43%, draw 25%, Świt Skolwin 32%.
Will both teams score in Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin?
Expected goals are 1.72 for Hutnik Kraków and 1.42 for Świt Skolwin — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hutnik Kraków vs Świt Skolwin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Hutnik Kraków or draw is 68%.