Hwaseong vs Daegu Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Hwaseong vs Daegu
Model pick: Daegu (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.25 – 2.67
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Hwaseong | Daegu |
|---|
| League position | #6 (28 pts) | #4 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 42% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.4 |
*Hwaseong shown at home, Daegu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Hwaseong — last 5
DLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Daegu — last 5
WWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Hwaseong (home) | Daegu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-4-3 in 12 (1.5 / 1.2 goals per game) | 3-4-1 in 8 (2.1 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 55% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.25 vs 2.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Hwaseong or draw (1X) | 32% |
| Double chance — Daegu or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Hwaseong clean sheet | 7% |
| Daegu clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Daegu is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Daegu edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Hwaseong vs Daegu — FAQ
Who will win Hwaseong vs Daegu?
Our statistical model makes Daegu the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Hwaseong 25%, draw 24%, Daegu 52%.
Will both teams score in Hwaseong vs Daegu?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Hwaseong vs Daegu?
Expected goals are 1.25 for Hwaseong and 2.67 for Daegu — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Hwaseong vs Daegu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Hwaseong or draw is 32%.