Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià
Model pick: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 0.86
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | Platges Calvià |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Ibiza Islas Pitiusas shown at home, Platges Calvià shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas — last 5
WWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 64% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Platges Calvià — last 5
DWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 45% of the time; 31% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas (home) | Platges Calvià (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 64% | 45% |
| Both teams scored | 32% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 31% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Platges Calvià or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Ibiza Islas Pitiusas clean sheet | 42% |
| Platges Calvià clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Ibiza Islas Pitiusas are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià — FAQ
Who will win Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià?
Our statistical model makes Ibiza Islas Pitiusas the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 47%, draw 28%, Platges Calvià 24%.
Will both teams score in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas and 0.86 for Platges Calvià — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ibiza Islas Pitiusas vs Platges Calvià?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas or draw is 77%.