IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors Prediction & Preview
Allsvenskan (Sweden) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ALLSVENSKAN (SWEDEN)
IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors
Model pick: IFK Göteborg (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| IFK Göteborg | Degerfors |
|---|
| League position | #13 (13 pts) | #14 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 17% | 17% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.6 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*IFK Göteborg shown at home, Degerfors shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
IFK Göteborg — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Degerfors — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | IFK Göteborg (home) | Degerfors (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-3 in 6 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-2-3 in 6 (1.0 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 52% |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Allsvenskan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.68 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — IFK Göteborg or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Degerfors or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| IFK Göteborg clean sheet | 35% |
| Degerfors clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
IFK Göteborg is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. IFK Göteborg are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors — FAQ
Who will win IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors?
Our statistical model makes IFK Göteborg the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: IFK Göteborg 52%, draw 25%, Degerfors 22%.
Will both teams score in IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors?
Expected goals are 1.68 for IFK Göteborg and 1.06 for Degerfors — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for IFK Göteborg or draw is 76%.