IK Franke vs Gute Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
IK Franke vs Gute
Model pick: IK Franke (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.27
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| IK Franke | Gute |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
*IK Franke shown at home, Gute shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
IK Franke — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Gute — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | IK Franke (home) | Gute (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.33
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — IK Franke or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Gute or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| IK Franke clean sheet | 28% |
| Gute clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
IK Franke is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. IK Franke are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ IK Franke vs Gute — FAQ
Who will win IK Franke vs Gute?
Our statistical model makes IK Franke the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: IK Franke 39%, draw 27%, Gute 34%.
Will both teams score in IK Franke vs Gute?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in IK Franke vs Gute?
Expected goals are 1.41 for IK Franke and 1.27 for Gute — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in IK Franke vs Gute?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for IK Franke or draw is 66%.