Žilina vs FC Košice Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Žilina vs FC Košice
Model pick: Žilina (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.08 – 1.25
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Žilina | FC Košice |
|---|
| League position | #1 (0 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
*Žilina shown at home, FC Košice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Žilina — last 5
LDLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
FC Košice — last 5
LDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Žilina (home) | FC Košice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 51% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.76
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.08 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Žilina or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — FC Košice or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Žilina clean sheet | 29% |
| FC Košice clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Žilina is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Žilina are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Žilina vs FC Košice — FAQ
Who will win Žilina vs FC Košice?
Our statistical model makes Žilina the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Žilina 53%, draw 23%, FC Košice 24%.
Will both teams score in Žilina vs FC Košice?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Žilina vs FC Košice?
Expected goals are 2.08 for Žilina and 1.25 for FC Košice — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Žilina vs FC Košice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for Žilina or draw is 77%.