Žilina vs Komárno Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Žilina vs Komárno
Model pick: Žilina (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.01 – 0.97
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Žilina | Komárno |
|---|
| League position | #6 (7 pts) | #9 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 3.5 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.6 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
*Žilina shown at home, Komárno shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Žilina — last 5
DLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Komárno — last 5
DDLDL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Žilina (home) | Komárno (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (2.5 / 3.5 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 47% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.77
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.01 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — Žilina or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Komárno or draw (X2) | 39% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Žilina clean sheet | 38% |
| Komárno clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Žilina is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Žilina are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Žilina vs Komárno — FAQ
Who will win Žilina vs Komárno?
Our statistical model makes Žilina the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Žilina 55%, draw 24%, Komárno 21%.
Will both teams score in Žilina vs Komárno?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Žilina vs Komárno?
Expected goals are 2.01 for Žilina and 0.97 for Komárno — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Žilina vs Komárno?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%). Double chance for Žilina or draw is 82%.