Žilina vs Podbrezová Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Žilina vs Podbrezová
Model pick: Žilina (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.0 – 1.46
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 66%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Žilina | Podbrezová |
|---|
| League position | #3 (13 pts) | #5 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 2.7 | 1.3 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.6 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*Žilina shown at home, Podbrezová shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Žilina — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Podbrezová — last 5
WWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Žilina (home) | Podbrezová (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-1 in 3 (2.3 / 2.7 goals per game) | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.3 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 51% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.77
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.0 vs 1.46):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — Žilina or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Podbrezová or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 45% / 55% |
| Žilina clean sheet | 23% |
| Podbrezová clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Žilina is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Žilina are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Žilina vs Podbrezová — FAQ
Who will win Žilina vs Podbrezová?
Our statistical model makes Žilina the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Žilina 48%, draw 25%, Podbrezová 27%.
Will both teams score in Žilina vs Podbrezová?
The model gives a 66% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Žilina vs Podbrezová?
Expected goals are 2.0 for Žilina and 1.46 for Podbrezová — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Žilina vs Podbrezová?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (9%). Double chance for Žilina or draw is 72%.