Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes
Model pick: Cleethorpes (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.19 – 3.92
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ilkeston | Cleethorpes |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 0.8 |
*Ilkeston shown at home, Cleethorpes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ilkeston — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Cleethorpes — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ilkeston (home) | Cleethorpes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.19 vs 3.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (17%) |
| Double chance — Ilkeston or draw (1X) | 4% |
| Double chance — Cleethorpes or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Ilkeston clean sheet | 2% |
| Cleethorpes clean sheet | 83% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cleethorpes is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Despite playing away, Cleethorpes edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes — FAQ
Who will win Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes?
Our statistical model makes Cleethorpes the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Ilkeston 1%, draw 5%, Cleethorpes 94%.
Will both teams score in Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes?
Expected goals are 0.19 for Ilkeston and 3.92 for Cleethorpes — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (17%). Double chance for Ilkeston or draw is 4%.