Ilkeston vs Quorn Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Ilkeston vs Quorn
Model pick: Ilkeston (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.02
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ilkeston | Quorn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Ilkeston shown at home, Quorn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ilkeston — last 5
WLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Quorn — last 5
LDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ilkeston (home) | Quorn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 80% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.39 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ilkeston or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Quorn or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Ilkeston clean sheet | 36% |
| Quorn clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ilkeston is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Ilkeston are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ilkeston vs Quorn — FAQ
Who will win Ilkeston vs Quorn?
Our statistical model makes Ilkeston the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Ilkeston 44%, draw 28%, Quorn 28%.
Will both teams score in Ilkeston vs Quorn?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ilkeston vs Quorn?
Expected goals are 1.39 for Ilkeston and 1.02 for Quorn — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ilkeston vs Quorn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Ilkeston or draw is 72%.