Ilves 2 vs MuSa Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 04, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
Ilves 2 vs MuSa
Model pick: Ilves 2 (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 9.6 – 1.31
Total goals: 10.9
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ilves 2 | MuSa |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.8 | 1.25 / 3.0 |
*Ilves 2 shown at home, MuSa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ilves 2 — last 5
WDWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
MuSa — last 5
LWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ilves 2 (home) | MuSa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.15
Home wins: 60%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (9.6 vs 1.31):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Ilves 2 or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — MuSa or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Ilves 2 clean sheet | 27% |
| MuSa clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ilves 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Ilves 2 are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 10.9, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ilves 2 vs MuSa — FAQ
Who will win Ilves 2 vs MuSa?
Our statistical model makes Ilves 2 the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Ilves 2 98%, draw 1%, MuSa 1%.
Will both teams score in Ilves 2 vs MuSa?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ilves 2 vs MuSa?
Expected goals are 9.6 for Ilves 2 and 1.31 for MuSa — about 10.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ilves 2 vs MuSa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-1 (11%). Double chance for Ilves 2 or draw is 100%.