Ilves 2 vs NJS Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
Ilves 2 vs NJS
Model pick: Ilves 2 (98%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.59 – 0.4
Total goals: 7.0
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ilves 2 | NJS |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 3.0 |
*Ilves 2 shown at home, NJS shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ilves 2 — last 5
WDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
NJS — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ilves 2 (home) | NJS (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.01
Home wins: 59%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.59 vs 0.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ilves 2 or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — NJS or draw (X2) | 1% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Ilves 2 clean sheet | 67% |
| NJS clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ilves 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
98%. Ilves 2 are backed at home, where they average 4.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.0, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ilves 2 vs NJS — FAQ
Who will win Ilves 2 vs NJS?
Our statistical model makes Ilves 2 the most likely result at 98%. Full probabilities: Ilves 2 98%, draw 1%, NJS 0%.
Will both teams score in Ilves 2 vs NJS?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ilves 2 vs NJS?
Expected goals are 6.59 for Ilves 2 and 0.4 for NJS — about 7.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ilves 2 vs NJS?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-0 (13%). Double chance for Ilves 2 or draw is 100%.