IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani
Model pick: IMT Novi Beograd (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.37 – 0.87
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| IMT Novi Beograd | Mladost Lučani |
|---|
| League position | #3 (10 pts) | #4 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
*IMT Novi Beograd shown at home, Mladost Lučani shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
IMT Novi Beograd — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 44% of home games go over 2.5.
Mladost Lučani — last 5
DDDDW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | IMT Novi Beograd (home) | Mladost Lučani (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-2-0 in 3 (0.7 / 0.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 42% |
| Top scorer | Charly Keita (4) | Petar Bojic (4) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.37 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — IMT Novi Beograd or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Mladost Lučani or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| IMT Novi Beograd clean sheet | 42% |
| Mladost Lučani clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
IMT Novi Beograd is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. IMT Novi Beograd are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani — FAQ
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani?
Our statistical model makes IMT Novi Beograd the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: IMT Novi Beograd 46%, draw 29%, Mladost Lučani 25%.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani?
Expected goals are 1.37 for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.87 for Mladost Lučani — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Mladost Lučani?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for IMT Novi Beograd or draw is 76%.