IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš
Model pick: IMT Novi Beograd (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| IMT Novi Beograd | Radnički Niš |
|---|
| League position | #3 (9 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*IMT Novi Beograd shown at home, Radnički Niš shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
IMT Novi Beograd — last 5
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At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Radnički Niš — last 5
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On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | IMT Novi Beograd (home) | Radnički Niš (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 46% |
| Top scorer | Charly Keita (4) | Aleksandr Shestyuk (5) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — IMT Novi Beograd or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Radnički Niš or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| IMT Novi Beograd clean sheet | 36% |
| Radnički Niš clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
IMT Novi Beograd is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. IMT Novi Beograd are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš — FAQ
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš?
Our statistical model makes IMT Novi Beograd the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: IMT Novi Beograd 45%, draw 27%, Radnički Niš 28%.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš?
Expected goals are 1.46 for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.03 for Radnički Niš — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnički Niš?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for IMT Novi Beograd or draw is 73%.