IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun
Model pick: IMT Novi Beograd (53%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.76 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| IMT Novi Beograd | Zemun |
|---|
| League position | #5 (3 pts) | #6 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*IMT Novi Beograd shown at home, Zemun shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
IMT Novi Beograd — last 5
LWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Zemun — last 5
WDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | IMT Novi Beograd (home) | Zemun (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Charly Keita (4) | – |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.76 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — IMT Novi Beograd or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Zemun or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| IMT Novi Beograd clean sheet | 39% |
| Zemun clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
IMT Novi Beograd is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. IMT Novi Beograd are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun — FAQ
Who will win IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
Our statistical model makes IMT Novi Beograd the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: IMT Novi Beograd 53%, draw 25%, Zemun 22%.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
Expected goals are 1.76 for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.93 for Zemun — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in IMT Novi Beograd vs Zemun?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for IMT Novi Beograd or draw is 80%.