Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld
Model pick: Ingolstadt II (45%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 1.48
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ingolstadt II | Neudrossenfeld |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Ingolstadt II shown at home, Neudrossenfeld shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ingolstadt II — last 5
WLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Neudrossenfeld — last 5
LLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ingolstadt II (home) | Neudrossenfeld (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.54
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Ingolstadt II or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Neudrossenfeld or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Ingolstadt II clean sheet | 23% |
| Neudrossenfeld clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ingolstadt II is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Ingolstadt II are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld — FAQ
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld?
Our statistical model makes Ingolstadt II the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Ingolstadt II 45%, draw 24%, Neudrossenfeld 31%.
Will both teams score in Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld?
Expected goals are 1.86 for Ingolstadt II and 1.48 for Neudrossenfeld — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ingolstadt II vs Neudrossenfeld?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Ingolstadt II or draw is 69%.