Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV
Model pick: Ingolstadt II (86%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 16.51 – 5.28
Total goals: 21.8
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ingolstadt II | Wurzburger FV |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.67 / 2.33 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
*Ingolstadt II shown at home, Wurzburger FV shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ingolstadt II — last 5
DLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Wurzburger FV — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ingolstadt II (home) | Wurzburger FV (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (16.51 vs 5.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-5 (11%) |
| Double chance — Ingolstadt II or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Wurzburger FV or draw (X2) | 18% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Ingolstadt II clean sheet | 1% |
| Wurzburger FV clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ingolstadt II is the model's most likely outcome at
86%. Ingolstadt II are backed at home, where they average 3.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV — FAQ
Who will win Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV?
Our statistical model makes Ingolstadt II the most likely result at 86%. Full probabilities: Ingolstadt II 86%, draw 8%, Wurzburger FV 6%.
Will both teams score in Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV?
Expected goals are 16.51 for Ingolstadt II and 5.28 for Wurzburger FV — about 21.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ingolstadt II vs Wurzburger FV?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-5 (11%). Double chance for Ingolstadt II or draw is 93%.