Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Prediction & Preview
Ligat Al (Israel) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGAT AL (ISRAEL)
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
Model pick: Hapoel Petah Tikva (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.36
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ironi Tiberias | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
|---|
| League position | #14 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Ironi Tiberias shown at home, Hapoel Petah Tikva shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ironi Tiberias — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Hapoel Petah Tikva — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 13% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ironi Tiberias (home) | Hapoel Petah Tikva (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 13% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 51% |
Ligat Al (Israel) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligat Al (Israel) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Ironi Tiberias or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Hapoel Petah Tikva or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Ironi Tiberias clean sheet | 26% |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hapoel Petah Tikva is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Hapoel Petah Tikva edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva — FAQ
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our statistical model makes Hapoel Petah Tikva the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Ironi Tiberias 36%, draw 27%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 37%.
Will both teams score in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Ironi Tiberias and 1.36 for Hapoel Petah Tikva — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Ironi Tiberias or draw is 62%.