Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud Prediction & Preview
Prim B Metro (Argentina) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIM B METRO (ARGENTINA)
Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud
Model pick: Dock Sud (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 1.03
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ituzaingó | Dock Sud |
|---|
| League position | #22 (14 pts) | #13 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 6% | 13% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Ituzaingó shown at home, Dock Sud shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ituzaingó — last 5
DDLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 21% of home games go over 2.5.
Dock Sud — last 5
DDWLD
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ituzaingó (home) | Dock Sud (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-7-8 in 16 (0.5 / 1.1 goals per game) | 2-6-7 in 15 (0.7 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 32% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 21% | 42% |
Prim B Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.06
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Prim B Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Ituzaingó or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Dock Sud or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Ituzaingó clean sheet | 36% |
| Dock Sud clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dock Sud is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Dock Sud edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud — FAQ
Who will win Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Our statistical model makes Dock Sud the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Ituzaingó 28%, draw 33%, Dock Sud 40%.
Will both teams score in Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
Expected goals are 0.77 for Ituzaingó and 1.03 for Dock Sud — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Ituzaingó or draw is 59%.