Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK
Model pick: Ivancsa (63%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 0.5
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ivancsa | Dunaharaszti MTK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Ivancsa shown at home, Dunaharaszti MTK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ivancsa — last 5
WLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Dunaharaszti MTK — last 5
DLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ivancsa (home) | Dunaharaszti MTK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 0.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Ivancsa or draw (1X) | 90% |
| Double chance — Dunaharaszti MTK or draw (X2) | 33% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Ivancsa clean sheet | 61% |
| Dunaharaszti MTK clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ivancsa is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. Ivancsa are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK — FAQ
Who will win Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
Our statistical model makes Ivancsa the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: Ivancsa 63%, draw 25%, Dunaharaszti MTK 13%.
Will both teams score in Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Ivancsa and 0.5 for Dunaharaszti MTK — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ivancsa vs Dunaharaszti MTK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Ivancsa or draw is 90%.