Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog
Model pick: Shahter Taganrog (88%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 5.04
Total goals: 6.2
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Izberbash | Shahter Taganrog |
|---|
| League position | #12 (18 pts) | #2 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 62% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.8 | 2.4 / 1.8 |
*Izberbash shown at home, Shahter Taganrog shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Izberbash — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Shahter Taganrog — last 5
DLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Izberbash (home) | Shahter Taganrog (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-0-4 in 9 (1.4 / 1.9 goals per game) | 5-2-1 in 8 (2.1 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 5.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-5 (7%) |
| Double chance — Izberbash or draw (1X) | 8% |
| Double chance — Shahter Taganrog or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Izberbash clean sheet | 1% |
| Shahter Taganrog clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Shahter Taganrog is the model's most likely outcome at
88%. Despite playing away, Shahter Taganrog edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.2, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog — FAQ
Who will win Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog?
Our statistical model makes Shahter Taganrog the most likely result at 88%. Full probabilities: Izberbash 5%, draw 7%, Shahter Taganrog 88%.
Will both teams score in Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog?
Expected goals are 1.17 for Izberbash and 5.04 for Shahter Taganrog — about 6.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Izberbash vs Shahter Taganrog?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-5 (7%). Double chance for Izberbash or draw is 8%.