Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk
Model pick: KDV Tomsk (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.39 – 1.22
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Izhevsk | KDV Tomsk |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Izhevsk shown at home, KDV Tomsk shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Izhevsk — last 5
LWDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
KDV Tomsk — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Izhevsk (home) | KDV Tomsk (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.13
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.39 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (24%) |
| Double chance — Izhevsk or draw (1X) | 43% |
| Double chance — KDV Tomsk or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Izhevsk clean sheet | 30% |
| KDV Tomsk clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KDV Tomsk is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Despite playing away, KDV Tomsk edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk — FAQ
Who will win Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk?
Our statistical model makes KDV Tomsk the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Izhevsk 14%, draw 32%, KDV Tomsk 54%.
Will both teams score in Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk?
Expected goals are 0.39 for Izhevsk and 1.22 for KDV Tomsk — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Izhevsk vs KDV Tomsk?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Double chance for Izhevsk or draw is 43%.