Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Model pick: Izhevsk (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
Expected goals: 1.5 – 0.73
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Izhevsk | Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 2.0 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
*Izhevsk shown at home, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Izhevsk — last 5
DDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — last 5
DDDLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Izhevsk (home) | Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.5 vs 0.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Izhevsk or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 or draw (X2) | 44% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Izhevsk clean sheet | 48% |
| Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Izhevsk is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Izhevsk are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — FAQ
Who will win Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
Our statistical model makes Izhevsk the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: Izhevsk 52%, draw 28%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 20%.
Will both teams score in Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
Expected goals are 1.5 for Izhevsk and 0.73 for Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Izhevsk vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (16%). Double chance for Izhevsk or draw is 82%.