Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc
Model pick: Jablonec (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jablonec | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|
| League position | #5 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
*Jablonec shown at home, Sigma Olomouc shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jablonec — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Sigma Olomouc — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jablonec (home) | Sigma Olomouc (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 48% |
| Top scorer | Jan Chramosta (6) | – |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.66
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.48 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Jablonec or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Sigma Olomouc or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Jablonec clean sheet | 32% |
| Sigma Olomouc clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jablonec is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Jablonec are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc — FAQ
Who will win Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?
Our statistical model makes Jablonec the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Jablonec 43%, draw 27%, Sigma Olomouc 30%.
Will both teams score in Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?
Expected goals are 1.48 for Jablonec and 1.15 for Sigma Olomouc — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jablonec vs Sigma Olomouc?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Jablonec or draw is 71%.