Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec Prediction & Preview
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECH LIGA (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec
Model pick: Jablonec (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.23 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jablonec | Slovan Liberec |
|---|
| League position | #8 (9 pts) | #2 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
*Jablonec shown at home, Slovan Liberec shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jablonec — last 5
WWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 41% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Slovan Liberec — last 5
WDWWW
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jablonec (home) | Slovan Liberec (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 3-0-0 in 3 (1.7 / 0.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 41% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 46% |
| Top scorer | Jan Chramosta (6) | Raimonds Krollis (7) |
Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 51%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Czech Liga (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.23 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Jablonec or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Slovan Liberec or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| Jablonec clean sheet | 32% |
| Slovan Liberec clean sheet | 29% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jablonec is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Jablonec are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec — FAQ
Who will win Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
Our statistical model makes Jablonec the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Jablonec 38%, draw 29%, Slovan Liberec 34%.
Will both teams score in Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
Expected goals are 1.23 for Jablonec and 1.13 for Slovan Liberec — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jablonec vs Slovan Liberec?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Jablonec or draw is 66%.