Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz
Model pick: Pelikan Łowicz (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.13 – 3.57
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 80%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jagiellonia II | Pelikan Łowicz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 2.0 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Jagiellonia II shown at home, Pelikan Łowicz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jagiellonia II — last 5
DWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pelikan Łowicz — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jagiellonia II (home) | Pelikan Łowicz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 37% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.13 vs 3.57):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-3 (6%) |
| Double chance — Jagiellonia II or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Pelikan Łowicz or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Jagiellonia II clean sheet | 3% |
| Pelikan Łowicz clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pelikan Łowicz is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Pelikan Łowicz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (80% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz — FAQ
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Our statistical model makes Pelikan Łowicz the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Jagiellonia II 23%, draw 17%, Pelikan Łowicz 60%.
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?
Expected goals are 2.13 for Jagiellonia II and 3.57 for Pelikan Łowicz — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jagiellonia II vs Pelikan Łowicz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-3 (6%). Double chance for Jagiellonia II or draw is 35%.