Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Model pick: Jaroslaw (87%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.91 – 1.74
Total goals: 7.7
Over 2.5: 83%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jaroslaw | KS Wieczysta Krakow II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 1.33 / 2.0 |
*Jaroslaw shown at home, KS Wieczysta Krakow II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jaroslaw — last 5
DLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
KS Wieczysta Krakow II — last 5
WLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jaroslaw (home) | KS Wieczysta Krakow II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.91 vs 1.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-1 (6%) |
| Double chance — Jaroslaw or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — KS Wieczysta Krakow II or draw (X2) | 10% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 95% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Jaroslaw clean sheet | 18% |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jaroslaw is the model's most likely outcome at
87%. Jaroslaw are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.7, this shapes as an open game (83% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II — FAQ
Who will win Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
Our statistical model makes Jaroslaw the most likely result at 87%. Full probabilities: Jaroslaw 87%, draw 7%, KS Wieczysta Krakow II 6%.
Will both teams score in Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
Expected goals are 5.91 for Jaroslaw and 1.74 for KS Wieczysta Krakow II — about 7.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jaroslaw vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-1 (6%). Double chance for Jaroslaw or draw is 96%.