JBK vs TP-47 Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
JBK vs TP-47
Model pick: JBK (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.06 – 0.43
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| JBK | TP-47 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 1.6 |
*JBK shown at home, TP-47 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
JBK — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
TP-47 — last 5
DLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | JBK (home) | TP-47 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 33% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.01
Home wins: 59%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.06 vs 0.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — JBK or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — TP-47 or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| JBK clean sheet | 65% |
| TP-47 clean sheet | 5% |
🎯 Our Verdict
JBK is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. JBK are backed at home, where they average 3.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ JBK vs TP-47 — FAQ
Who will win JBK vs TP-47?
Our statistical model makes JBK the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: JBK 84%, draw 12%, TP-47 4%.
Will both teams score in JBK vs TP-47?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in JBK vs TP-47?
Expected goals are 3.06 for JBK and 0.43 for TP-47 — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in JBK vs TP-47?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (15%). Double chance for JBK or draw is 97%.