Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II
Model pick: St. Pauli II (78%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.58 – 2.81
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jeddeloh | St. Pauli II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 2.2 | 3.0 / 3.25 |
*Jeddeloh shown at home, St. Pauli II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jeddeloh — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
St. Pauli II — last 5
WDDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jeddeloh (home) | St. Pauli II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.38
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.58 vs 2.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (13%) |
| Double chance — Jeddeloh or draw (1X) | 17% |
| Double chance — St. Pauli II or draw (X2) | 95% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Jeddeloh clean sheet | 6% |
| St. Pauli II clean sheet | 56% |
🎯 Our Verdict
St. Pauli II is the model's most likely outcome at
78%. Despite playing away, St. Pauli II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II — FAQ
Who will win Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II?
Our statistical model makes St. Pauli II the most likely result at 78%. Full probabilities: Jeddeloh 7%, draw 15%, St. Pauli II 78%.
Will both teams score in Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II?
Expected goals are 0.58 for Jeddeloh and 2.81 for St. Pauli II — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jeddeloh vs St. Pauli II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (13%). Double chance for Jeddeloh or draw is 17%.