Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski
Model pick: Draw (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.2 – 0.26
Total goals: 0.5
Over 2.5: 8%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jelenia Gora | Bytom Odrzanski |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
*Jelenia Gora shown at home, Bytom Odrzanski shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jelenia Gora — last 5
DWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 75% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Bytom Odrzanski — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jelenia Gora (home) | Bytom Odrzanski (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 75% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 0% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.2 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (63%) |
| Double chance — Jelenia Gora or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Bytom Odrzanski or draw (X2) | 86% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 34% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Jelenia Gora clean sheet | 77% |
| Bytom Odrzanski clean sheet | 82% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (92% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski — FAQ
Who will win Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Jelenia Gora 17%, draw 62%, Bytom Odrzanski 22%.
Will both teams score in Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski?
Expected goals are 0.2 for Jelenia Gora and 0.26 for Bytom Odrzanski — about 0.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jelenia Gora vs Bytom Odrzanski?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (63%). Double chance for Jelenia Gora or draw is 81%.