Jelenia Gora vs Sulow Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Jelenia Gora vs Sulow
Model pick: Draw (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.59 – 0.05
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 12%
Both teams score: 15%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jelenia Gora | Sulow |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Jelenia Gora shown at home, Sulow shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jelenia Gora — last 5
LWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Sulow — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jelenia Gora (home) | Sulow (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.59 vs 0.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (53%) |
| Double chance — Jelenia Gora or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Sulow or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 46% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Jelenia Gora clean sheet | 95% |
| Sulow clean sheet | 55% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (88% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Jelenia Gora vs Sulow — FAQ
Who will win Jelenia Gora vs Sulow?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Jelenia Gora 44%, draw 53%, Sulow 4%.
Will both teams score in Jelenia Gora vs Sulow?
The model gives a 15% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Jelenia Gora vs Sulow?
Expected goals are 0.59 for Jelenia Gora and 0.05 for Sulow — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jelenia Gora vs Sulow?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (53%). Double chance for Jelenia Gora or draw is 97%.