Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam
Model pick: Jeonnam Dragons (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.78 – 1.32
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jeonnam Dragons | Gyeongnam |
|---|
| League position | #16 (12 pts) | #9 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.8 | 2.0 / 0.6 |
*Jeonnam Dragons shown at home, Gyeongnam shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jeonnam Dragons — last 5
LDLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Gyeongnam — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jeonnam Dragons (home) | Gyeongnam (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-2 in 5 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-3-3 in 7 (0.9 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.78 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Jeonnam Dragons or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Gyeongnam or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Jeonnam Dragons clean sheet | 27% |
| Gyeongnam clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jeonnam Dragons is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Jeonnam Dragons are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam — FAQ
Who will win Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam?
Our statistical model makes Jeonnam Dragons the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Jeonnam Dragons 40%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam 34%.
Will both teams score in Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam?
Expected goals are 1.78 for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.32 for Gyeongnam — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jeonnam Dragons vs Gyeongnam?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Jeonnam Dragons or draw is 71%.