Jonsereds vs Onsala Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Jonsereds vs Onsala
Model pick: Jonsereds (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.94 – 0.45
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Jonsereds | Onsala |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 |
*Jonsereds shown at home, Onsala shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Jonsereds — last 5
WD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Onsala — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Jonsereds (home) | Onsala (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.94 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (25%) |
| Double chance — Jonsereds or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Onsala or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Jonsereds clean sheet | 64% |
| Onsala clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Jonsereds is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Jonsereds are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Jonsereds vs Onsala — FAQ
Who will win Jonsereds vs Onsala?
Our statistical model makes Jonsereds the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Jonsereds 44%, draw 36%, Onsala 19%.
Will both teams score in Jonsereds vs Onsala?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Jonsereds vs Onsala?
Expected goals are 0.94 for Jonsereds and 0.45 for Onsala — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Jonsereds vs Onsala?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (25%). Double chance for Jonsereds or draw is 83%.