JS Omrane vs ES Tunis Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
JS Omrane vs ES Tunis
Model pick: ES Tunis (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.62 – 1.86
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| JS Omrane | ES Tunis |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #4 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*JS Omrane shown at home, ES Tunis shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
JS Omrane — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 27% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
ES Tunis — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 52% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | JS Omrane (home) | ES Tunis (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 27% | 52% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 32% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.62 vs 1.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — JS Omrane or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — ES Tunis or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| JS Omrane clean sheet | 16% |
| ES Tunis clean sheet | 54% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ES Tunis is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, ES Tunis edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ JS Omrane vs ES Tunis — FAQ
Who will win JS Omrane vs ES Tunis?
Our statistical model makes ES Tunis the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: JS Omrane 14%, draw 24%, ES Tunis 62%.
Will both teams score in JS Omrane vs ES Tunis?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in JS Omrane vs ES Tunis?
Expected goals are 0.62 for JS Omrane and 1.86 for ES Tunis — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in JS Omrane vs ES Tunis?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for JS Omrane or draw is 33%.