Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis
Model pick: SC St.Tonis (96%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.56 – 11.12
Total goals: 13.7
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Juchen-Garzweiler | SC St.Tonis |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 3.0 | 1.4 / 5.0 |
*Juchen-Garzweiler shown at home, SC St.Tonis shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Juchen-Garzweiler — last 5
LLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
SC St.Tonis — last 5
LLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Juchen-Garzweiler (home) | SC St.Tonis (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.56 vs 11.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-8 (10%) |
| Double chance — Juchen-Garzweiler or draw (1X) | 5% |
| Double chance — SC St.Tonis or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Juchen-Garzweiler clean sheet | 0% |
| SC St.Tonis clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SC St.Tonis is the model's most likely outcome at
96%. Despite playing away, SC St.Tonis edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis — FAQ
Who will win Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis?
Our statistical model makes SC St.Tonis the most likely result at 96%. Full probabilities: Juchen-Garzweiler 2%, draw 2%, SC St.Tonis 96%.
Will both teams score in Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis?
Expected goals are 2.56 for Juchen-Garzweiler and 11.12 for SC St.Tonis — about 13.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Juchen-Garzweiler vs SC St.Tonis?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-8 (10%). Double chance for Juchen-Garzweiler or draw is 5%.