Juve Stabia vs Pisa Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Italy) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (ITALY)
Juve Stabia vs Pisa
Model pick: Juve Stabia (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Juve Stabia | Pisa |
|---|
| League position | #13 (1 pts) | #20 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Juve Stabia shown at home, Pisa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Juve Stabia — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 44% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Pisa — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Juve Stabia (home) | Pisa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 44% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 42% |
Serie B (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.45
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Serie B (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Juve Stabia or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Pisa or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 31% |
| Pisa clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Juve Stabia is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Juve Stabia are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Juve Stabia vs Pisa — FAQ
Who will win Juve Stabia vs Pisa?
Our statistical model makes Juve Stabia the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Juve Stabia 37%, draw 29%, Pisa 34%.
Will both teams score in Juve Stabia vs Pisa?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Juve Stabia vs Pisa?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Juve Stabia and 1.16 for Pisa — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Juve Stabia vs Pisa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Juve Stabia or draw is 65%.