Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) ยท Aug 08, 2026 ยท kickoff 20:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado
Model pick: Draw (64%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.2 โ 0.22
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 7%
Both teams score: 19%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Juventud Antoniana | Alvarado |
| League position | #5 (22 pts) | #2 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.0 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 0.25 | 5.0 / 0.0 |
*Juventud Antoniana shown at home, Alvarado shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Juventud Antoniana โ last 5
DWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Alvarado โ last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Juventud Antoniana (home) | Alvarado (away) |
| This season record | 4-1-3 in 8 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-4-3 in 8 (0.4 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Argentino A (Argentina) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.02
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 19%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.2 vs 0.22):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (66%) |
| Double chance โ Juventud Antoniana or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance โ Alvarado or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 31% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Juventud Antoniana clean sheet | 80% |
| Alvarado clean sheet | 82% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
64%. The model sees no clear favourite โ a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (93% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado โ FAQ
Who will win Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 64%. Full probabilities: Juventud Antoniana 17%, draw 64%, Alvarado 19%.
Will both teams score in Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado?
The model gives a 19% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado?
Expected goals are 0.2 for Juventud Antoniana and 0.22 for Alvarado โ about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Juventud Antoniana vs Alvarado?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (66%). Double chance for Juventud Antoniana or draw is 83%.