Juventud vs Torque Prediction & Preview
Primera (Uruguay) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA (URUGUAY)
Juventud vs Torque
Model pick: Juventud (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Juventud | Torque |
|---|
| League position | #3 (7 pts) | #1 (13 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.3 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
*Juventud shown at home, Torque shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Juventud — last 5
DLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Torque — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Juventud (home) | Torque (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-2-0 in 3 (2.3 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-1-1 in 3 (1.7 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Federico Barrandeguy (3) | – |
Primera (Uruguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera (Uruguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Juventud or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Torque or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Juventud clean sheet | 29% |
| Torque clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Juventud is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Juventud are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Juventud vs Torque — FAQ
Who will win Juventud vs Torque?
Our statistical model makes Juventud the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Juventud 40%, draw 27%, Torque 33%.
Will both teams score in Juventud vs Torque?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Juventud vs Torque?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Juventud and 1.24 for Torque — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Juventud vs Torque?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Juventud or draw is 67%.