K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca
Model pick: Cadca (77%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 1.82
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| K. Nove Mesto | Cadca |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 3.8 | 3.0 / 1.4 |
*K. Nove Mesto shown at home, Cadca shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
K. Nove Mesto — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Cadca — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | K. Nove Mesto (home) | Cadca (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 80% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 1.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (27%) |
| Double chance — K. Nove Mesto or draw (1X) | 18% |
| Double chance — Cadca or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| K. Nove Mesto clean sheet | 16% |
| Cadca clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cadca is the model's most likely outcome at
77%. Despite playing away, Cadca edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca — FAQ
Who will win K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca?
Our statistical model makes Cadca the most likely result at 77%. Full probabilities: K. Nove Mesto 2%, draw 20%, Cadca 77%.
Will both teams score in K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca?
Expected goals are 0.07 for K. Nove Mesto and 1.82 for Cadca — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in K. Nove Mesto vs Cadca?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (27%). Double chance for K. Nove Mesto or draw is 18%.