K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin Prediction & Preview
3 Liga (Slovakia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin
Model pick: K. Nove Mesto (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 0.39
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| K. Nove Mesto | D. Kubin |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 3.8 | 0.75 / 3.5 |
*K. Nove Mesto shown at home, D. Kubin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
K. Nove Mesto — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
D. Kubin — last 5
LLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | K. Nove Mesto (home) | D. Kubin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.48
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 3 Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 0.39):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — K. Nove Mesto or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — D. Kubin or draw (X2) | 29% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| K. Nove Mesto clean sheet | 68% |
| D. Kubin clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
K. Nove Mesto is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. K. Nove Mesto are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin — FAQ
Who will win K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin?
Our statistical model makes K. Nove Mesto the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: K. Nove Mesto 66%, draw 24%, D. Kubin 10%.
Will both teams score in K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin?
Expected goals are 1.75 for K. Nove Mesto and 0.39 for D. Kubin — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in K. Nove Mesto vs D. Kubin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for K. Nove Mesto or draw is 92%.