KÍ vs NSÍ Prediction & Preview
Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FORMULADEILDIN (FAROEISLANDS)
KÍ vs NSÍ
Model pick: KÍ (63%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.45 – 1.06
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KÍ | NSÍ |
|---|
| League position | #2 (37 pts) | #1 (40 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 0.8 | 2.1 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 56% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*KÍ shown at home, NSÍ shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KÍ — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 64% of home games go over 2.5.
NSÍ — last 5
LLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 71% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KÍ (home) | NSÍ (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-2 in 9 (1.6 / 0.8 goals per game) | 3-3-3 in 9 (2.1 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 45% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 71% |
Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.28
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Formuladeildin (Faroeislands) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.45 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — KÍ or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — NSÍ or draw (X2) | 32% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| KÍ clean sheet | 35% |
| NSÍ clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KÍ is the model's most likely outcome at
63%. KÍ are backed at home, where they average 2.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KÍ vs NSÍ — FAQ
Who will win KÍ vs NSÍ?
Our statistical model makes KÍ the most likely result at 63%. Full probabilities: KÍ 63%, draw 20%, NSÍ 17%.
Will both teams score in KÍ vs NSÍ?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KÍ vs NSÍ?
Expected goals are 2.45 for KÍ and 1.06 for NSÍ — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KÍ vs NSÍ?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (10%). Double chance for KÍ or draw is 85%.