KA vs Breidablik Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
KA vs Breidablik
Model pick: Breidablik (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.72
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KA | Breidablik |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #30 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.3 / 2.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
*KA shown at home, Breidablik shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KA — last 5
LLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Breidablik — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KA (home) | Breidablik (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 2.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 56% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.52 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — KA or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Breidablik or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| KA clean sheet | 18% |
| Breidablik clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Breidablik is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Breidablik edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KA vs Breidablik — FAQ
Who will win KA vs Breidablik?
Our statistical model makes Breidablik the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: KA 34%, draw 24%, Breidablik 41%.
Will both teams score in KA vs Breidablik?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KA vs Breidablik?
Expected goals are 1.52 for KA and 1.72 for Breidablik — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KA vs Breidablik?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for KA or draw is 57%.