KA vs FH Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
KA vs FH
Model pick: KA (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.7 – 1.4
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KA | FH |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*KA shown at home, FH shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KA — last 5
WLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
FH — last 5
LDWDD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KA (home) | FH (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 58% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.7 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — KA or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — FH or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 82% / 18% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| KA clean sheet | 25% |
| FH clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KA is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. KA are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KA vs FH — FAQ
Who will win KA vs FH?
Our statistical model makes KA the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: KA 43%, draw 25%, FH 32%.
Will both teams score in KA vs FH?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KA vs FH?
Expected goals are 1.7 for KA and 1.4 for FH — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KA vs FH?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for KA or draw is 68%.