KA vs KR Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
KA vs KR
Model pick: KR (52%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.82
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| KA | KR |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.8 / 1.6 |
*KA shown at home, KR shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
KA — last 5
DDLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
KR — last 5
WWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | KA (home) | KR (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 56% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.05 vs 1.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — KA or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — KR or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| KA clean sheet | 16% |
| KR clean sheet | 13% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KR is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, KR edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ KA vs KR — FAQ
Who will win KA vs KR?
Our statistical model makes KR the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: KA 28%, draw 20%, KR 52%.
Will both teams score in KA vs KR?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in KA vs KR?
Expected goals are 2.05 for KA and 1.82 for KR — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in KA vs KR?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for KA or draw is 65%.