Kairat vs Levski Sofia Prediction & Preview
UEFA Champions League (Europe) · Aug 11, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Kairat vs Levski Sofia
Model pick: Levski Sofia (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 0.75
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kairat | Levski Sofia |
|---|
| League position | #36 (1 pts) | #1 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.2 / 2.5 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Kairat shown at home, Levski Sofia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kairat — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Levski Sofia — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 46% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kairat (home) | Levski Sofia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-3 in 4 (0.2 / 2.5 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 46% |
UEFA Champions League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.92
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 53%
Use these UEFA Champions League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (40%) |
| Double chance — Kairat or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Levski Sofia or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 55% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Kairat clean sheet | 47% |
| Levski Sofia clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Levski Sofia is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Levski Sofia edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Kairat vs Levski Sofia — FAQ
Who will win Kairat vs Levski Sofia?
Our statistical model makes Levski Sofia the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Kairat 28%, draw 34%, Levski Sofia 38%.
Will both teams score in Kairat vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kairat vs Levski Sofia?
Expected goals are 0.16 for Kairat and 0.75 for Levski Sofia — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kairat vs Levski Sofia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (40%). Double chance for Kairat or draw is 53%.