Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz
Model pick: SC Weiz (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.6 – 1.25
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kalsdorf | SC Weiz |
|---|
| League position | #5 (49 pts) | #9 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.4 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Kalsdorf shown at home, SC Weiz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kalsdorf — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
SC Weiz — last 5
WDLWD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kalsdorf (home) | SC Weiz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 10-1-4 in 15 (2.4 / 1.5 goals per game) | 4-2-9 in 15 (1.6 / 2.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 75% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.6 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (20%) |
| Double chance — Kalsdorf or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — SC Weiz or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Kalsdorf clean sheet | 29% |
| SC Weiz clean sheet | 55% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SC Weiz is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, SC Weiz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz — FAQ
Who will win Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz?
Our statistical model makes SC Weiz the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Kalsdorf 20%, draw 31%, SC Weiz 49%.
Will both teams score in Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz?
Expected goals are 0.6 for Kalsdorf and 1.25 for SC Weiz — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kalsdorf vs SC Weiz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (20%). Double chance for Kalsdorf or draw is 48%.