Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II
Model pick: Kaposvári Rákóczi (97%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.67 – 0.38
Total goals: 6.0
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kaposvári Rákóczi | Paks II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.6 | 1.25 / 2.25 |
*Kaposvári Rákóczi shown at home, Paks II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kaposvári Rákóczi — last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Paks II — last 5
DLDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kaposvári Rákóczi (home) | Paks II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.67 vs 0.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Kaposvári Rákóczi or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Paks II or draw (X2) | 2% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 99% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Kaposvári Rákóczi clean sheet | 68% |
| Paks II clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kaposvári Rákóczi is the model's most likely outcome at
97%. Kaposvári Rákóczi are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.0, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II — FAQ
Who will win Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II?
Our statistical model makes Kaposvári Rákóczi the most likely result at 97%. Full probabilities: Kaposvári Rákóczi 97%, draw 2%, Paks II 1%.
Will both teams score in Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II?
Expected goals are 5.67 for Kaposvári Rákóczi and 0.38 for Paks II — about 6.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Paks II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (13%). Double chance for Kaposvári Rákóczi or draw is 100%.