Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC
Model pick: Pecsi MFC (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.01 – 2.0
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Kaposvári Rákóczi | Pecsi MFC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.6 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
*Kaposvári Rákóczi shown at home, Pecsi MFC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Kaposvári Rákóczi — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Pecsi MFC — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Kaposvári Rákóczi (home) | Pecsi MFC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 75% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.01 vs 2.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Kaposvári Rákóczi or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Pecsi MFC or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Kaposvári Rákóczi clean sheet | 14% |
| Pecsi MFC clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pecsi MFC is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Pecsi MFC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC — FAQ
Who will win Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC?
Our statistical model makes Pecsi MFC the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Kaposvári Rákóczi 21%, draw 23%, Pecsi MFC 56%.
Will both teams score in Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC?
Expected goals are 1.01 for Kaposvári Rákóczi and 2.0 for Pecsi MFC — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Kaposvári Rákóczi vs Pecsi MFC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Kaposvári Rákóczi or draw is 40%.