Karlslund vs Haninge Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Karlslund vs Haninge
Model pick: Haninge (68%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.21 – 2.98
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Karlslund | Haninge |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.5 | 1.67 / 2.67 |
*Karlslund shown at home, Haninge shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Karlslund — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Haninge — last 5
LWD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Karlslund (home) | Haninge (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.21 vs 2.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Karlslund or draw (1X) | 27% |
| Double chance — Haninge or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Karlslund clean sheet | 5% |
| Haninge clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Haninge is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, Haninge edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Karlslund vs Haninge — FAQ
Who will win Karlslund vs Haninge?
Our statistical model makes Haninge the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: Karlslund 15%, draw 17%, Haninge 68%.
Will both teams score in Karlslund vs Haninge?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Karlslund vs Haninge?
Expected goals are 1.21 for Karlslund and 2.98 for Haninge — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Karlslund vs Haninge?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Karlslund or draw is 27%.