Karlstad II vs Lidkoping Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Karlstad II vs Lidkoping
Model pick: Lidkoping (65%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.17 – 1.37
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Karlstad II | Lidkoping |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 2.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
*Karlstad II shown at home, Lidkoping shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Karlstad II — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Lidkoping — last 5
DL
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Karlstad II (home) | Lidkoping (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.17 vs 1.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (29%) |
| Double chance — Karlstad II or draw (1X) | 31% |
| Double chance — Lidkoping or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Karlstad II clean sheet | 25% |
| Lidkoping clean sheet | 84% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lidkoping is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. Despite playing away, Lidkoping edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Karlstad II vs Lidkoping — FAQ
Who will win Karlstad II vs Lidkoping?
Our statistical model makes Lidkoping the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Karlstad II 6%, draw 29%, Lidkoping 65%.
Will both teams score in Karlstad II vs Lidkoping?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Karlstad II vs Lidkoping?
Expected goals are 0.17 for Karlstad II and 1.37 for Lidkoping — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Karlstad II vs Lidkoping?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (29%). Double chance for Karlstad II or draw is 31%.